Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 20, 2025 at 4.15am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Durdevic (35', 35')
Marquez (13'), Marquez (13'), Rocha (61'), Rocha (61'), Lozano (74'), Lozano (74'), Doria (80'), Doria (80')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Nervo (31' og., 31' og.)
Gutierrez (11'), Gutierrez (11'), Chavez (18'), Chavez (18'), Alejandro Gomez Ortiz (22'), Alejandro Gomez Ortiz (22'), Sebastian Angel Wilke Braams (54'), Sebastian Angel Wilke Braams (54'), Alejandro Martinez Ruiz (67'), Alejandro Martinez Ruiz (67')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Atlas
Thursday, April 17 at 2am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Wednesday, April 16 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
32.99% (0.678 0.68)25.99% (-0.155 -0.16)41.01% (-0.53 -0.53)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.717 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (0.824 0.82)50.63% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (0.723 0.72)72.54% (-0.73 -0.73)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.85299999999999 0.85)29% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (1.047 1.05)64.9% (-1.053 -1.05)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (0.097000000000008 0.1)24.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (0.14 0.14)58.81% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 32.99%
    CD Guadalajara 41.01%
    Draw 25.99%
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2024 1.05am
Guadalajara
1-2
Atlas
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (59' pen.)
Briseno (81'), Marin (90+6')
Briseno (90+12'), Hernandez (90+12')
Castillo (85' og.), Rocha (90+14' pen.)
Mora (12'), Doria (58'), Reyes (75'), Rocha (90+14')
Reyes (90+15')
Oct 6, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 11
Guadalajara
2-3
Atlas
Marin (64'), Alvarado (71')
Gonzalez (45+3'), Beltran (76'), Flores (84')
Murillo (40'), Marquez (47'), Lozano (52')
Rocha (76'), Rocha (81'), Orozco (90+3')
Apr 28, 2024 4.10am
Gameweek 17
Atlas
0-1
Guadalajara

Lozano (27'), Marquez (33'), Fulgencio (80'), Zapata (85'), Caicedo (86'), Caicedo (90+1')
Alvarado (74')
Castillo (2'), Cowell (83'), Orozco (86')
Oct 8, 2023 2am
Gameweek 12
Guadalajara
4-1
Atlas
Beltran (9'), Marin (63', 84'), Alvarado (90+3' pen.)
Rocha (44')
Santamaria (36'), Hernandez (45+3'), Abella (82'), Vargas (90+2')
May 15, 2023 2.05am
Guadalajara
1-0
Atlas
Sepulveda (60')
rhs 2.0


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