Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.