Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Mar 10, 2025 at 3am UK

Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
3 - 4
Atlas

Zuniga (33', 33'), Julio (49', 49'), Vega (53', 53')
Bilbao (47'), Bilbao (47'), Boya (90+7'), Boya (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Doria (61', 61'), Durdevic (82' pen., 82' pen., 87', 87', 90+10', 90+10')
Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz (90+6'), Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz (90+7'), Ramirez Barboza (90+9'), Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz (90+6'), Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz (90+7'), Ramirez Barboza (90+9')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions

Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Tijuana
Sunday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Atlas

All competitions

Last Game: Atlas 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, March 3 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Club Tijuana	Draw	Atlas
50.13% ( -0.53)	24.37% ( 0.13)	25.49% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.29% (

-0.2)

47.71% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09% (

-0.18)

69.9% (

0.18)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

-0.29)

19.06% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

-0.48)

50.65% (

0.48)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

0.23)

32.94% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

0.25)

69.52% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Club Tijuana 50.13%

Atlas 25.49%

Draw 24.37%

Club Tijuana	Draw	Atlas
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.49%