Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 1, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 3
Cruz Azul

Tona (65', 65'), Zuniga (69', 69')
Bilbao (19'), Bilbao (19'), Gomez (80'), Gomez (80')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Romero (6', 6'), Giakoumakis (33', 33'), Rotondi (44' pen., 44' pen.)
Giakoumakis (37'), Giakoumakis (37'), Orozco (56'), Orozco (56'), Piovi (60'), Piovi (60'), Giakoumakis (68'), Giakoumakis (68'), Rodriguez (77'), Rodriguez (77'), Ditta (80'), Ditta (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 4-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, January 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Next Game: Guadalajara vs. Tijuana
Monday, February 10 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Next Game: Real du Cap vs. Cruz Azul
Wednesday, February 5 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
32.49% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)24.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.56% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.99% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (0.023000000000003 0.02)46.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)68.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.02000000000001 0.02)21.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (0.031000000000006 0.03)54.91% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 32.49%
    Cruz Azul 42.56%
    Draw 24.95%
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.56%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 1.10am
Cruz Azul
3-0
Tijuana
Rivero (44'), Giakoumakis (54'), Sepulveda (74')
Anselmi (81'), Ditta (90+4')

Gomez (62')
Nov 28, 2024 3.10am
Tijuana
3-0
Cruz Azul
Zuniga (10'), Alvarez (19'), Reynoso (42')

Sanchez (34')
Jul 17, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 3
Cruz Azul
3-0
Tijuana
Giakoumakis (33', 52'), Rivero (45+2')
Anselmi (27'), Garcia (48')

Corona (40'), Reynoso (72')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2024 1am
Gameweek 4
Cruz Azul
1-0
Tijuana
Sepulveda (46')
Rodriguez (45+2'), Fernandez (45+7'), Uriel (45+2'), Faravelli (50'), Guerrero (79'), Sepulveda (82')

Contreras (40'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (88')
Jul 15, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
2-1
Cruz Azul
Gonzalez (57'), Cambindo (90+2' og.)
Rodriguez (50')
Rivero (45')
Salcedo (90+5'), Cambindo (90')
> Preview