Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.