Liga MX | Gameweek 4

Jan 29, 2025 at 3.05am UK

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 3
Cruz Azul

FT(HT: 2-2)

Lira (39', 39'), Giakoumakis (72', 72'), Faravelli (90+1', 90+1')
Lira (30'), Lira (30'), Orozco (45+1'), Orozco (45+1'), Giakoumakis (73'), Giakoumakis (73')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Necaxa
Saturday, January 25 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Cruz Azul
24.54% ( 0.18)	25.73% ( -0.04)	49.73% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 49.22% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

0.29)

53.91% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

0.24)

75.36% (

-0.24)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.87% (

0.32)

37.13% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.08% (

0.32)

73.91% (

-0.32)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.05)

21.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

0.08)

54.86% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 24.54%

Cruz Azul 49.73%

Draw 25.72%

Necaxa	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.54%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.73%