Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.