Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club America had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Club America win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.