Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Atlas win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.