Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.