Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.