Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
0 - 5
America


Colula (50'), Colula (50')
FT(HT: 0-8)
Martin (26', 26', 45+5', 45+5'), Aguirre (30', 30'), Rodriguez (36', 36'), Reyes (78', 78')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, October 26 at 2am in Liga MX

Club America

All competitions
Last Game: America 2-1 Monterrey
Monday, October 28 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub America
30.68% (0.245 0.25)25.18% (0.358 0.36)44.13% (-0.602 -0.6)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-1.068 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.05% (-1.453 -1.45)47.94% (1.454 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-1.352 -1.35)70.12% (1.352 1.35)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.56299999999999 -0.56)29.19% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.698 -0.7)65.13% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.879 -0.88)21.72% (0.88 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (-1.361 -1.36)54.88% (1.36 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 30.68%
    Club America 44.13%
    Draw 25.18%
MazatlanDrawClub America
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.345 0.35)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.68%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.374 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.324 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.13%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 3am
Gameweek 9
America
2-2
Mazatlan
Martin (48', 75')
Jardine (0')
Amarilla (25', 52')
Esquivel (64'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Joel Barcenas (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 4am
Gameweek 12
Mazatlan
1-2
America
Amarilla (39')
Joel Barcenas (20'), Maduena (21'), Flores (24'), Colman (33'), Amarilla (42')
Valdes (54'), Lichnovsky (76')
Lichnovsky (4'), Caceres (49'), Rodriguez (79')
Jan 29, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 4
America
6-0
Mazatlan
Rodriguez (30'), Valdes (32'), Martin (34', 59', 90+3'), Sanchez (40')
Aug 27, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Mazatlan
1-3
America
Valdes (11' og.)
Valdes (39'), Martin (45'), Caceres (49')
Feb 17, 2022 1am
Gameweek 2
Mazatlan
2-1
America
Sosa (11'), Sansores (33')
Meraz (18'), Antonio Padilla (90+9')
Otero (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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