Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.