Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 1
Monterrey

Rodriguez (49', 49'), Fidalgo (89', 89')
Zendejas (81'), Zendejas (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cortizo (87', 87')
Medina (62'), Medina (62'), Ambriz (77'), Ambriz (77'), Moreno (85'), Moreno (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America
Thursday, October 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Pumas
Thursday, October 24 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawMonterrey
46.97% (0.307 0.31)26.36% (-0.107 -0.11)26.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (0.28599999999999 0.29)54.81% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (0.236 0.24)76.12% (-0.235 -0.23)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.26600000000001 0.27)23.32% (-0.265 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.386 0.39)57.28% (-0.385 -0.38)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)35.79% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (-0.012 -0.01)72.56% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club America 46.97%
    Monterrey 26.67%
    Draw 26.35%
Club AmericaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.97%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.67%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 3.10am
Gameweek 5
America
1-1
Monterrey
Valdes (24')
Lichnovsky (26')
Canales (40')
Andrada (76'), Gallardo (90+1')
Moreno (90+2')
Oct 29, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 14
Monterrey
0-3
America

Medina (4')
Meza (18')
Rodriguez (2', 21'), Zendejas (33')
dos Santos (11'), Zendejas (30'), Lichnovsky (30')
Apr 9, 2023 4.10am
Jul 10, 2022 3.05am
Mar 6, 2022 1.06am
Gameweek 9
Monterrey
2-1
America
Campbell (38'), Funes Mori (50')
Fidalgo (34')
rhs 2.0


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