Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Tigres
37.5% ( -0.02)	25.26% ( 0.06)	37.22% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12% (

-0.3)

46.87% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

-0.28)

69.12% (

0.27)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-0.15)

24.54% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

-0.2)

59.02% (

0.2)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.16)

24.7% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-0.22)

59.23% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 37.5%

Tigres 37.22%

Draw 25.26%

Monterrey	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.22%