Liga MX Gameweek 17
Nov 10, 2024 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Jesus Gallardo 9' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 9' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 35' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 35' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 58' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 58' goal
  • Paulinho 72' goal
  • Paulinho 72' goal
  • Luan Garcia 77' goal
  • Luan Garcia 77' goal

Toluca vs Club America - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 1.00am
Tigres 2 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Club America

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 1.00am
America 2 - 1 Pachuca
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Rodrigo Aguirre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Club America had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 41.75% (-0.06)
Draw 23.99% (+0.02)
Club America 34.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.72% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.27% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.32% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 63.67% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.26% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.73% (+0.06)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 47.8% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 52.19% (+0.09)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5 76.24% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.75% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.1% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 41.75%
Draw 23.99%
Club America 34.25%
Toluca
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 41.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.99%
Club America
1-2 @ 7.9% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.83% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.25%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 2.05am
5
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Diego Valdes 9' goal
  • Diego Valdes 9' goal
  • Henry Martin 15' goal
  • Henry Martin 15' goal
  • Cristian Calderon 19' yellowcard
  • Cristian Calderon 19' yellowcard
  • Diego Valdes 24' goal
  • Diego Valdes 24' goal
  • Igor Lichnovsky 50' yellowcard
  • Igor Lichnovsky 50' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 73' goal
  • Julian Quinones 73' goal
  • Julian Quinones 82' goal
  • Julian Quinones 82' goal
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dominguez 14'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 14'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 49'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 49'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Valber Huerta 44' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 54' goal
  • Tomas Belmonte 84' redcard
  • goal Diego Valdes 25'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 15, 2023 1.05am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Carlos Gonzalez 8' goal
  • Carlos Orrantia 23' goal
  • goal Brian Rodriguez 16'
  • goal Henry Martin 76'
Liga MX
Oct 23, 2022 2.06am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alejandro Zendejas 35' goal
  • goal Jorge Torres 29'
Liga MX
Oct 20, 2022 3.06am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Haret Ortega 23' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 42' goal
  • goal Emilio Lara 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
  • Richard Sanchez 36' yellowcard
  • Richard Sanchez 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Claudio Baeza 31'
  • yellowcard Camilo Sanvezzo 90'