Liga MX | Gameweek 16

Nov 7, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
2 - 1
Toluca

Gignac (4', 4'), Brunetta (57', 57')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Gallardo (79', 79')
Violante (54'), Violante (54')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 0-3 Tigres
Saturday, November 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Club Leon
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Toluca
46.85% ( 0.44)	24.59% ( -0.13)	28.56% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

0.36)

46.44% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

0.34)

68.72% (

-0.34)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.33)

19.9% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.97% (

0.53)

52.03% (

-0.54)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

-0.04)

29.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

-0.05)

66.01% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Tigres 46.85%

Toluca 28.56%

Draw 24.58%

Tigres	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.85%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.56%