Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 2Club Leon
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Leon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-0 Queretaro
Sunday, October 27 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 27 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Club Leon |
65.92% ( 0.47) | 18.58% ( -0.11) | 15.5% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.72% ( -0.25) | 35.27% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.7% ( -0.28) | 57.29% ( 0.28) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.01% ( 0.05) | 9.98% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.01% ( 0.1) | 32.99% ( -0.1) |
Club Leon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.28% ( -0.61) | 35.72% ( 0.61) |