Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club Leon
65.92% ( 0.47)	18.58% ( -0.11)	15.5% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.72% (

-0.25)

35.27% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.7% (

-0.28)

57.29% (

0.28)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01% (

0.05)

9.98% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.01% (

0.1)

32.99% (

-0.1)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.61)

35.72% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.63)

72.49% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Toluca 65.92%

Club Leon 15.5%

Draw 18.58%

Toluca	Draw	Club Leon
2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 65.92%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.58%	1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.5%