Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Club America had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club America
43.09% ( 1.23)	24.26% ( 0.12)	32.64% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 59.48% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.96% (

-0.95)

43.04% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.56% (

-0.95)

65.44% (

0.95)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

0.15)

20.14% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

0.24)

52.41% (

-0.24)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

-1.24)

25.52% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

-1.72)

60.38% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Toluca 43.09%

Club America 32.64%

Draw 24.25%

Toluca	Draw	Club America
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.64%