Liga MX | Gameweek 1

Jan 12, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
2 - 1
Necaxa

Ruvalcaba (25'), Lopez (28')
Martinez (38'), Caicedo (87'), Magallan (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cambindo (64')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions

Last Game: Pumas 3-5 Monterrey
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, November 10 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Necaxa
61.48% ( 0.94)	21.56% ( -0.43)	16.95% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8% (

46.2% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

0.94)

68.5% (

-0.94)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

0.63)

14.51% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48% (

1.21)

42.51% (

-1.21)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.37% (

-0.02)

40.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.78% (

-0.02)

77.22% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Pumas 61.48%

Necaxa 16.95%

Draw 21.55%

Pumas	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.56% Total : 61.48%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.95%