Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Dec 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
3 - 5
Monterrey

Martinez (36', 88'), Pussetto (66')
Silva (6'), Lema (7'), Martinez (64'), Duarte (90+8'), Caicedo (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berterame (31', 74'), Ocampos (55'), Arteaga (77'), Torres (90')
Rodriguez (89'), Aguirre (90+6'), Vazquez (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 1-0 Pumas
Friday, November 29 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 1-0 Pumas
Friday, November 29 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawMonterrey
42.15% (0.236 0.24)26.19% (0.050000000000001 0.05)31.67% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.265 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.287 -0.29)51.82% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.251 -0.25)73.58% (0.253 0.25)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)24.35% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)58.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)30.47% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-0.403 -0.4)66.68% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 42.15%
    Monterrey 31.67%
    Draw 26.18%
PumasDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 3.10am
Monterrey
1-0
Pumas
Canales (90' pen.)
Torres (37'), Medina (70')

Silva (53'), Duarte (75'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (81'), Ergas (87'), Martinez (89')
Oct 24, 2024 2am
Gameweek 13
Monterrey
0-0
Pumas
Aug 4, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Monterrey
1-1
Pumas
(Aggregate 1-1 | Pumas win 3-0 on penalties)
Corona (53')
Meza (32'), Vazquez (77')
Funes Mori (80')
Magallan (83')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2024 1am
Gameweek 10
Monterrey
3-0
Pumas
Vazquez (52'), Canales (82'), Arteaga (89')

Rivas (70'), Silva (90')
Oct 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 13
Pumas
0-1
Monterrey

Silva (27'), Dinenno (50')
Gonzalez (90+3')
Gonzalez (18'), Moreno (28'), Funes Mori (28'), Vegas (35'), Andrada (36'), Meza (90+6')