Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.