Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 79.6%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 6.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.5%) and 1-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.