Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Gomez (63', 63')
Ferrareis (72'), Ferrareis (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Puebla
Wednesday, October 23 at 4.05am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa
Wednesday, October 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
24.94% (1.606 1.61)23.98% (0.837 0.84)51.07% (-2.44 -2.44)
Both teams to score 55% (-0.94 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (-2.102 -2.1)46.5% (2.105 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (-2.005 -2.01)68.78% (2.008 2.01)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (0.229 0.23)32.75% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (0.253 0.25)69.3% (-0.25 -0.25)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-1.679 -1.68)18.23% (1.682 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (-2.939 -2.94)49.25% (2.942 2.94)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 24.94%
    CD Guadalajara 51.07%
    Draw 23.98%
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.611 0.61)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.361 0.36)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.94%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.513 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.346 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.07%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Guadalajara
3-2
Puebla
Hernandez (34'), Gutierrez (57'), Alvarado (59')
Cisneros (90+2'), Mozo (90+6')
De Buen (89'), Herrera Rodriguez (90+3')
Barragan (81'), Angulo (90')
Oct 21, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 13
Puebla
0-2
Guadalajara

Gonzalez (56'), Martinez (57'), Olmedo (77'), Carabajal (90+2')
Alvarado (25' pen.), Cisneros (72')
Gonzalez (17'), Sepulveda (34'), Briseno (57'), Alvarado (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Puebla
1-0
Guadalajara
Ferrareis (40')
Oct 9, 2022 10.30pm
Puebla
1-1
Guadalajara
(Aggregate 1-1 | Puebla win 5-4 on penalties)
Barragan (58')
Cisneros (90+6')
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 14
Guadalajara
1-0
Puebla