Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.