Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.