Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 13, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
1 - 1
Puebla

Rodriguez (38', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ferrareis (86', 86')
Waller (76'), Waller (76'), Angulo (90+4'), Gularte (90+6'), Angulo (90+4'), Gularte (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 America
Monday, December 16 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Puebla
Monday, November 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
MonterreyDrawPuebla
72.66% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)17.23% (0.244 0.24)10.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.71% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (-1.249 -1.25)42.69% (1.243 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-1.255 -1.26)65.09% (1.249 1.25)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.67% (-0.386 -0.39)10.32% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.23% (-0.876 -0.88)33.77% (0.869 0.87)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.98% (-0.895 -0.89)49.02% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.03% (-0.648 -0.65)83.97% (0.64 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 72.65%
    Puebla 10.11%
    Draw 17.23%
MonterreyDrawPuebla
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.45 0.45)
3-0 @ 9.88% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.088 -0.09)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 72.65%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.23%
0-1 @ 3.61% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 10.11%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 2am
Gameweek 16
Puebla
1-2
Monterrey
Ormeno (82')
Orona (40'), Ferrareis (60')
Berterame (37'), Canales (55')
Cortizo (26'), Andrada (84'), Medina (90+5')
Jan 14, 2024 3am
Gameweek 1
Monterrey
2-0
Puebla
Gonzalez (51'), Berterame (90+4')

Gonzalez (65'), Angulo (82'), de Buen (90')
Oct 4, 2023 2am
Gameweek 11
Puebla
1-1
Monterrey
Martinez (4')
Olmedo (87')
Funes Mori (30')
Cortizo (26'), Govea (40'), Vegas (45+1')
Jan 28, 2023 1.05am
Jul 27, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
1-0
Puebla
Martinez (82'), Maia (85')