Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.