Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.