Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2024 at 3.10am UK

Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 1
Puebla

Corona (60', 60'), Gonzalez (90+13', 90+13')
Zuniga (29'), Zuniga (29'), Castaneda (59'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (59'), Ferrareis (59'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (59'), Gonzalez (90'), Gonzalez (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gularte (8', 8')
Ferrareis (59'), Rodriguez (59'), Castaneda (59'), Rodriguez (59'), Quinones (66'), Quinones (66'), Tona (77'), Tona (77'), Angulo (78'), Jimenez (90+4'), Jimenez (90+4'), Jimenez (90+4')
Quinones (76'), Quinones (76')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tijuana
Thursday, November 7 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Tijuana in this match.

Result
Club Tijuana	Draw	Puebla
59.67% ( -0.43)	21.04% ( 0.26)	19.28% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 57.05% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.93% (

-0.97)

40.07% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.56% (

-1.01)

62.43% (

1.01)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.43)

13.08% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.31% (

-0.88)

39.68% (

0.88)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63% (

-0.41)

34.36% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93% (

-0.44)

71.07% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Club Tijuana 59.67%

Puebla 19.28%

Draw 21.04%

Club Tijuana	Draw	Puebla
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.51% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.28%