Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.