Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.