Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 2
Guadalajara

Perez (62', 62'), Badaloni (77', 77'), Monreal (87', 87')
Lara (15'), Lara (15'), Palavecino (45'), Palavecino (45'), Rosero (90+6'), Rosero (90+7'), Rosero (90+6'), Rosero (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sepulveda (51', 51'), Alvarado (90+8' pen., 90+8' pen.)
Lara (10'), Lara (10'), Gutierrez (57'), Gutierrez (57'), Romo (90'), Romo (90')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 2-1 Necaxa
Sunday, January 12 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, January 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawCD Guadalajara
29.12% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)27.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.29% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92%58.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25%78.74%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)35.58% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)72.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)26.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)61.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 29.12%
    CD Guadalajara 43.29%
    Draw 27.58%
NecaxaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.12%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.29%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 13
Guadalajara
3-2
Necaxa
Cowell (50'), Marin (55'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (59')
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (90+8')
Badaloni (5'), Monreal (79')
Feb 21, 2024 3am
Gameweek 9
Necaxa
1-0
Guadalajara
Cambindo (28')
Oliveros (36'), Monreal (44'), Mendez (82'), Montes (86')

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (25'), Chavez (39'), Perez (47')
Jul 14, 2023 4am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
2-0
Necaxa
Beltran (24'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')

Batista (45'), Gonzalez (60'), Rodriguez (75')
Dudamel (45+6')
Apr 9, 2023 12am
Aug 20, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0


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