Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.