Liga MX | Gameweek 16

Nov 6, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
0 - 2
Guadalajara

Aquino (63'), Aquino (63'), Fagundez (73'), Fagundez (73'), Adrian Jimenez Sanchez (77'), Adrian Jimenez Sanchez (77'), Geovanni Perez Sanchez (90+2'), Geovanni Perez Sanchez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cowell (45', 45'), Padilla (86', 86')
Gabriel Rey Mejia (39'), Gabriel Rey Mejia (39'), Orozco (42'), Orozco (42')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, November 3 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

CD Guadalajara

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Pumas
Sunday, November 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	CD Guadalajara
22.1% ( 0.27)	23.1% ( 0.38)	54.8% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

-1.33)

45.56% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.12% (

-1.28)

67.88% (

1.29)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

-0.49)

34.74% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

-0.52)

71.47% (

0.53)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

-0.69)

16.51% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

-1.27)

46.24% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 22.1%

CD Guadalajara 54.79%

Draw 23.1%

Santos Laguna	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.1%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.1%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 54.79%