Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.