Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 11, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 4
Toluca

Zuniga (45+3', 45+3'), Reynoso (80', 80')
Rivera (3'), Rivera (3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vega (39', 39', 57', 57'), Helinho (71', 71'), Paulinho (85', 85')
Ruiz (18'), Ruiz (18'), Arteaga (21'), Arteaga (21'), Barbosa (90+5'), Barbosa (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Sunday, December 1 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-2 America
Saturday, November 30 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
42.03% (0.046999999999997 0.05)24.6% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)33.37% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.53% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.62% (0.042999999999999 0.04)44.38% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.25% (0.041999999999994 0.04)66.75% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94% (0.062999999999995 0.06)54.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.66%
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 42.03%
    Toluca 33.37%
    Draw 24.6%
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.37%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 11.45pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
4-0
Tijuana
Rodriguez (39' og.), Ruiz (51'), Angulo (79'), Paulinho (90+3')
Ruiz (54')

Zuniga (75')
Feb 25, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 8
Toluca
2-0
Tijuana
Dominguez (52'), Meneses (63')
Belmonte (16'), Vega (60')

Castaneda (36'), Diaz (69')
Sep 16, 2023 4am
Gameweek 8
Tijuana
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (12'), Madrigal (18')
Balanta (74'), Barbosa (83')
Morales (90+6')
Araujo (74'), Morales (81'), Venegas (81'), Volpi (90+8')
Meneses (85')
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 12
Tijuana
3-3
Toluca
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
3-1
Tijuana
Gonzalez (34'), Meneses (49'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Baeza (12')
Lopez (23')
Diaz (29'), Canelo (71'), (90+4')
Diaz (74')
rhs 2.0


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