Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.