Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.