Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 30, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
3 - 3
Monterrey

Marquez (6', 6', 40', 40'), Doria (89', 89')
Rocha (52'), Rocha (52')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Torres (37', 37'), Chavez (67', 67'), Alvarado (74', 74')
Chavez (23'), Chavez (23'), Medina (61'), Medina (61'), Rodriguez (76'), Rodriguez (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, January 26 at 6pm in Liga MX

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 2-3 Pachuca
Sunday, January 26 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawMonterrey
35.49% (-0.168 -0.17)27.28% (0.052 0.05)37.23% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.203 -0.2)55.51% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.167 -0.17)76.69% (0.172 0.17)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.205 -0.2)29.82% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.25 -0.25)65.9% (0.255 0.25)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)28.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)64.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 35.48%
    Monterrey 37.22%
    Draw 27.28%
AtlasDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 35.48%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 1.05am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
4-0
Atlas
Canales (6', 41'), Berterame (13'), Rojas Echavarria (68')
Torres (16'), Canales (26')

Marquez (22'), Doria (72')
Mar 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 12
Atlas
1-2
Monterrey
Rocha (81')
Marquez (54'), Santamaria (61')
Nervo (90+8')
Meza (44'), Gallardo (57')
Aguirre (67'), Arteaga (81')
Jul 10, 2023 2am
Gameweek 2
Monterrey
1-0
Atlas
Medina (11')
Cortizo (27'), Vegas (45+1'), Meza (63')

Aguirre (17'), Rocha (45+3'), Santamaria (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Atlas
0-2
Monterrey
Funes Mori (60'), Gonzalez (63')
Sep 18, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
2-0
Atlas