Liga MX Gameweek 2
Toluca
Jan 19, 2025 1.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Monterrey
  • Helinho 11' goal
  • Helinho 11' goal
  • Diego Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • Diego Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Canales 47'
  • goal Sergio Canales 47'
  • yellowcard Hector Moreno 66'
  • yellowcard Hector Moreno 66'

Toluca vs Monterrey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2025 3.05am
Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Monterrey

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2025 1.00am
Monterrey 1 - 1 Puebla
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
German Berterame

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 45.48% ▲ (+0.61)
Draw 24.63% ▲ (+0.14)
Monterrey 29.89% ▼ (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.87% ▼ (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.13% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 45.88% ▲ (+0.96)
Over 3.5 31.81% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 3.5 68.19% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 4.5 15.94% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 4.5 84.06% ▲ (+0.66)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 79.74% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 20.26% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 47.4% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 52.61% ▲ (+0.21)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 71.31% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 0.5 28.69% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 1.5 35.49% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 1.5 64.51% ▲ (+1.24)

Score analysis

Toluca 45.48%
Draw 24.62%
Monterrey 29.89%
Toluca
1-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.62%
Monterrey
0-1 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 29.89%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 6
Monterrey
Sep 1, 2024 2.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Toluca
  • Brandon Vazquez 54' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 54' goal
  • Stefan Medina 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Stefan Medina 90'+8' yellowcard
  • German Berterame 90'+11' yellowcard
  • German Berterame 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 6'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 6'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 59'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 59'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
  • goal Isaias Violante 87'
  • goal Isaias Violante 87'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 90'+11'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 90'+11'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Monterrey
Feb 19, 2024 2.10am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Toluca
  • German Berterame 90'+1' goal
  • Luis Romo 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 71'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Aug 31, 2023 2.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Monterrey
  • Brian Garcia 9' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 9' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 26' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 26' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 30'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 31'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Monterrey
Feb 6, 2023 1.10am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Toluca
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 17' goal
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 31' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 62'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Toluca
Aug 18, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Monterrey
  • Leonardo Fernandez 27' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 38' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 23'
  • yellowcard Jacobo Reyes Murillo 31'
  • yellowcard Jacobo Reyes 31'
  • goal Rodrigo Aguirre 71'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 73'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Toluca
Apr 7, 2022 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Monterrey
  • Valber Huerta 12' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 30' goal
  • Haret Ortega 42' yellowcard
  • Alan Rodriguez 88' yellowcard
  • Alan Rodriguez 89' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90'+9' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90'+10' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Meza 13'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 29'
  • goal Joel Campbell 36'
  • yellowcard Vincent Janssen 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Erick Aguirre 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 90'+9'

Form Data

Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
Toluca 0 - 2 America
America 2 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 4 - 0 America
Tigres 2 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 2 Club Leon
Monterrey 1 - 1 Puebla
Monterrey 1 - 1 America
America 2 - 1 Monterrey
Monterrey 5 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis 2 - 1 Monterrey
Pumas 3 - 5 Monterrey