Liga MX | Gameweek 4

Jan 30, 2025 at 3am UK

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 0
Santos Laguna

Estupinan (61', 61')
Mosquera (18'), Mosquera (18')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guemez (21'), Guemez (21'), Govea (32'), Govea (32')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-4 America
Sunday, January 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juarez in this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Santos Laguna
50.6% ( -0.2)	24.85% ( -0.05)	24.55% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 51.87% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

0.43)

50.44% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

0.38)

72.37% (

-0.38)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

0.09)

19.94% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

0.14)

52.09% (

-0.14)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78% (

0.46)

35.21% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03% (

0.47)

71.96% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Juarez 50.59%

Santos Laguna 24.55%

Draw 24.84%

Juarez	Draw	Santos Laguna
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.59%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.55%