Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juarez in this match.