Liga MX | Gameweek 6

Feb 8, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 2
Santos Laguna

Cambindo (5', 5', 58', 58'), Paradela (11' pen., 11' pen.)
de Buen (81'), de Buen (81')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Lopez (31', 31', 35', 35')
Lozano (45+4'), Lozano (45+4')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Monterrey 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, February 2 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Puebla
Sunday, February 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Santos Laguna
50.06% ( -0.16)	25.89% ( 0.04)	24.05% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08% (

-0.05)

54.92% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8% (

-0.04)

76.2% (

0.04)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02% (

-0.09)

21.98% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.72% (

-0.14)

55.28% (

0.14)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87% (

0.09)

38.13% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1% (

0.08)

74.9% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 50.05%

Santos Laguna 24.05%

Draw 25.89%

Necaxa	Draw	Santos Laguna
1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.05%