Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 2, 2025 at 1.05am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
1 - 0
Necaxa

Ambriz (45+1', 45+1')
Canales (45+4'), Canales (45+4'), Aguirre (83'), Aguirre (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cambindo (16'), Cambindo (16'), de Buen (38'), de Buen (38'), Monreal (45+3'), Monreal (45+3')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 3-3 Monterrey
Thursday, January 30 at 1am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawNecaxa
62.7% (0.027999999999999 0.03)20.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.97% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.68% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.15% (0.020000000000003 0.02)38.85% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)74.75% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 62.7%
    Necaxa 16.84%
    Draw 20.47%
MonterreyDrawNecaxa
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 62.7%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 16.84%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 2am
Gameweek 3
Necaxa
0-1
Monterrey

Arce (62'), Garnica (79'), Oliveros (80')
Garnica (79')
Cortizo (57')
Canales (79')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
2-5
Monterrey
Cambindo (59'), Jurado (90+6')
Mayorga (39'), Fentanes (40'), Arce (74'), Arce (76')
Gudino (78')
Berterame (50'), Canales (52', 64'), Gonzalez (81'), Vazquez (86')
Vegas (41'), Gomez (44')
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
3-0
Necaxa
Vegas (45+1'), Berterame (54'), Lopez (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 11.06pm
Gameweek 8
Monterrey
2-1
Necaxa
Funes Mori (60'), Berterame (90+2')
Mendez (73' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 3am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-2
Monterrey
Garnica (37')
Aguirre (56'), Gonzalez (77')