Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.