Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 8, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
America

Marin (74', 74')
Rodrigo Pachuca Martinez (10'), Rodrigo Pachuca Martinez (10'), Waller (15'), Waller (15'), Rivas (45+2'), Rivas (45+2'), Orona (76'), Orona (76'), Gularte (81'), Arce (81'), Gularte (81'), Arce (81')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Zendejas (13', 13'), Martin (38', 38')
Davila (24'), Davila (24'), Espinoza Acosta (25'), Espinoza Acosta (25')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Puebla
Sunday, February 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 4-0 Juarez
Saturday, February 1 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawClub America
18.5% (-0.023 -0.02)21.6% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)59.91% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.68% (0.263 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (0.369 0.37)43.84% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.359 0.36)66.23% (-0.36 -0.36)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (0.193 0.19)37.42% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (0.188 0.19)74.2% (-0.188 -0.19)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.157 0.16)14.23% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.30500000000001 0.31)41.97% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 18.5%
    Club America 59.91%
    Draw 21.59%
PueblaDrawClub America
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.02%
2-0 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 18.5%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 10.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 6.47% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.21% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.15% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 59.91%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 5
America
0-1
Puebla
Castillo (74')
Gonzalez (14'), Herrera Rodriguez (60')
Apr 27, 2024 2am
Gameweek 17
Puebla
1-2
America
Ferrareis (9')
Gonzalez (66')
Reyes Chavez (21', 45+3')
Jul 16, 2023 2am
Gameweek 3
America
3-0
Puebla
Alvarez (35'), Suarez (45+2'), Quinones (87')
Caceres (89')

Robles (31')
Jan 22, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 3
America
2-2
Puebla
Oct 16, 2022 2.06am
America
5-1
Puebla
Rodriguez (21'), Martin (27'), Martinez (50'), Fidalgo (61'), Layun (85' pen.)
Araujo (35')
rhs 2.0


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