Liga MX | Gameweek 4

Jan 29, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
0 - 1
Mazatlan

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gularte (45+5' og., 45+5' og.)
Meraz (15'), Meraz (15'), Duarte (71'), Duarte (71'), Samir (83'), Samir (83'), Amarilla (86'), Amarilla (86'), Diaz (89'), Diaz (89')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, January 25 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mazatlan in this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Mazatlan
34.85% ( -0.2)	26.4% ( -0.09)	38.75% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01% (

0.33)

51.99% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

0.29)

73.73% (

-0.29)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.04)

28.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

0.05)

64.27% (

-0.05)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.31)

26.22% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

0.42)

61.32% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Puebla 34.85%

Mazatlan 38.75%

Draw 26.39%

Puebla	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.75%