Liga MX Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
Jan 25, 2025 3.00am
2
1
HT : 4 4
FT Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
Toluca
  • Facundo Almada 17' goal
  • Facundo Almada 17' goal
  • Facundo Almada 17' goal
  • Facundo Almada 17' goal
  • Lucas Merolla 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Merolla 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Merolla 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Merolla 58' yellowcard
  • Luis Amarilla 76' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 76' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 76' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 76' goal
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 19'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 19'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 19'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 19'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 40'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 40'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 40'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 40'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 44'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 44'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 44'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 44'
  • yellowcard Helinho 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Helinho 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Helinho 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Helinho 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 83'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 83'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 83'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 83'

Mazatlan vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 1.00am
Tigres 2 - 1 Mazatlan
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Luis Amarilla

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 1.00am
Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Mazatlan 31.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 24.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Toluca 43.85% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 68.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5 72.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 27.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.45% ▲ (+0.08)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 78.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mazatlan 31.33%
Draw 24.82%
Toluca 43.85%
Mazatlan
1-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.82%
Toluca
0-1 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.85%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 3
Toluca
Jul 18, 2024 4.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Mazatlan
  • Paulinho 15' goal
  • Paulinho 15' goal
  • Brian Garcia 45' goal
  • Brian Garcia 45' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 48' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 48' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 77' goal
  • Alexis Vega 77' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 87' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Rubio 1'
  • yellowcard Brian Rubio 1'
  • yellowcard Jair Diaz 65'
  • yellowcard Jair Diaz 65'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Toluca
Jan 20, 2024 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Mazatlan
  • Claudio Baeza 10' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 14' yellowcard
  • Valber Huerta 33' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 37' goal
  • Jean Meneses 61' goal
  • Jean Meneses 86' goal
  • Tomas Belmonte 89' yellowcard
  • Tiago Volpi 90'+6' goal
  • goal Andres Montano 16'
  • yellowcard Bryan Colula 30'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Intriago 44'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Mazatlan
Nov 11, 2023 1.06am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
Toluca
  • Jefferson Intriago 68' goal
  • Jefferson Intriago 68' goal
  • yellowcard Andres Mosquera 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Andres Mosquera 90'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Toluca
Mar 12, 2023 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Mazatlan
  • Carlos Gonzalez 25' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 48' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 45'+5' goal
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 83' goal
  • goal Nicolas Benedetti 38'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Mazatlan
Sep 17, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Toluca
  • Bryan Colula 23' goal
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 55'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
Jan 22, 2022 3.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Toluca
  • Eduard Bello 29' goal
  • Ivan Moreno 56' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Sosa 73' redcard
  • Nestor Vidrio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 3'
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 17'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 69'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 80'

Form Data

Tigres 2 - 1 Mazatlan
Mazatlan 1 - 1 Juarez
Mazatlan 0 - 1 Pumas
Club Leon 0 - 0 Mazatlan
Mazatlan 0 - 5 America
Santos Laguna 0 - 0 Mazatlan
Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey
Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
Toluca 0 - 2 America
America 2 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 4 - 0 America
Tigres 2 - 1 Toluca