Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
31.32% ( -0.05)	24.83% ( 0.01)	43.85% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 56.94% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

-0.05)

46.11% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

-0.05)

68.41% (

0.04)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.06)

27.85% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55% (

-0.08)

63.45% (

0.07)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

-0)

21.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

-0)

53.9% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 31.33%

Toluca 43.85%

Draw 24.82%

Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.33%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.85%