Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

America
4 - 0
Juarez

Davila (29'), Sanchez (45'), Rodriguez (66', 81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mosquera (39')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 1-0 Santos Laguna
Thursday, January 30 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawJuarez
63.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)21.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57%47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36%69.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.8% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)43.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.98% (0.011000000000003 0.01)80.02% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club America 63.93%
    Juarez 15.03%
    Draw 21.03%
Club AmericaDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
5-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 63.93%
1-1 @ 10% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.03%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 4.10am
Gameweek 4
Juarez
1-2
America
Garcia (4')
Hurtado (73')
Martin (21'), Aguirre (90+2')
Jan 25, 2024 3.06am
Gameweek 4
Juarez
0-2
America

Garcia (2'), Ortiz (43'), Mosquera (53'), Garcia (57'), Salas (90+5')
Valdes (16'), Fidalgo (84')
Jardine (0'), Alvarez (75')
Jul 1, 2023 2am
Gameweek 1
America
1-2
Juarez
Suarez (15')
Sanchez (50'), Suarez (59')
Garcia (86'), Zapata (90+5')
Sosa Heredia (44'), Ortega (75')
Apr 29, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 17
Juarez
0-1
America
Sanchez (36')
Aug 8, 2022 2.05am
Gameweek 7
America
2-1
Juarez
Martin (60', 64')
Zendejas (13')
Medina (90')
Salcedo (73')
rhs 2.0


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