Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.