Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 19, 2025 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
0 - 4
Necaxa


Rios (18'), Rios (18'), Marquez (76'), Marquez (76')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Cambindo (23', 23'), Palavecino (43', 43'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (70', 70'), Badaloni (90+1', 90+1')
Mayorga (48'), Mayorga (48'), Pena (82'), Pena (82'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (83'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (83'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (83'), Adolfo Palma Cisneros (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlas 3-2 Puebla
Saturday, February 15 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-3 Necaxa
Saturday, February 15 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawNecaxa
49.17% (0.497 0.5)25.63% (-0.207 -0.21)25.19% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.11% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95% (0.581 0.58)53.05% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (0.492 0.49)74.64% (-0.494 -0.49)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.45700000000001 0.46)21.59% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.698 0.7)54.69% (-0.7 -0.7)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (0.066000000000003 0.07)36.08% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.86% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 49.17%
    Necaxa 25.19%
    Draw 25.63%
AtlasDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.19%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
0-0
Atlas
Monreal (37'), Montes (64')
Doria (88')
Jan 15, 2024 12am
Gameweek 1
Necaxa
2-1
Atlas
Monreal (88'), Montes (90+3')
Samudio (53'), Arce (76'), Montes (90+3'), Oliveros (90+3')
Aguirre (29')
Rocha (6')
Rocha (61'), Trejo (90')
Nov 11, 2023 1am
Gameweek 17
Atlas
0-0
Necaxa
Lozano (6'), Santamaria (38'), Trejo (86')
Garcia (60'), Santamaria (80')
Rodriguez (45+5'), Cortes (85')
Apr 22, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Necaxa
1-3
Atlas
Oct 2, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 17
Atlas
1-0
Necaxa
Aguirre (76')