Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 26, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
4 - 2
Pumas

Castaneda (1', 1'), Alvarez (3', 3'), Nicholson (37', 37'), Vega (47', 47')
Castaneda (68'), Castaneda (68'), Gomez (82'), Gomez (82'), Nicholson (90+5'), Nicholson (90+5')
FT(HT: 6-0)
Pussetto (63', 63'), Trigos (90+1', 90+1')
Funes Mori (83'), Funes Mori (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-0 Tijuana
Saturday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-2 America
Sunday, February 23 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawPumas
41.63% (3.198 3.2)25.69% (-0.493 -0.49)32.68% (-2.704 -2.7)
Both teams to score 54.56% (1.043 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (1.602 1.6)49.44% (-1.601 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (1.424 1.42)71.48% (-1.421 -1.42)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (2.399 2.4)23.56% (-2.397 -2.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (3.348 3.35)57.62% (-3.345 -3.35)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)28.62% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-1.146 -1.15)64.42% (1.148 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 41.63%
    Pumas 32.68%
    Draw 25.69%
Club TijuanaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.418 0.42)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.502 0.5)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.473 0.47)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.453 0.45)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.235 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.262 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.235 0.24)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.795 -0.8)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.68%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2024 12am
Gameweek 9
Pumas
1-0
Tijuana
Pussetto (88')
Funes Mori (45+2')

Rafael Mora Zambrano (59'), Diaz (83')
Mar 10, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 11
Pumas
3-3
Tijuana
Lopez (5'), Martinez (15', 49')
Lopez (20'), Casares (51'), Jose Gonzalez (75')
Lema (21'), Magallan (26')
Rivera (29' pen., 53', 76')
Gonzalez (34'), Rivera (45+4'), Hernandez (90+11')
Jul 1, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 1
Tijuana
2-3
Pumas
Madrigal (45+4'), Gonzalez (48')
Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (87')
Rivas (25'), Dinenno (70' pen.), Salvio (89')
Silva (27'), Mohamed (28'), Ortiz (40'), Caicedo (81')
Jan 28, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Tijuana
0-0
Pumas
Jul 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Pumas
1-1
Tijuana
Diogo (51')
Lopez (68'), Del Prete (68'), Meritao (78'), Aldrete (87'), J (90+5')
Rodriguez (10' pen.)
Diaz (82'), Montecinos (90')