Liga MX Gameweek 4
Pumas
Jan 30, 2025 3.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Pablo Bennevendo 53' yellowcard
  • Pablo Bennevendo 53' yellowcard
  • Pablo Bennevendo 61' goal
  • Pablo Bennevendo 61' goal
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 64' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 64' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 74' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 17'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 17'
  • goal Nathan Silva 51' (OG)
  • goal Nathan Silva 51' (OG)

Pumas vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 6.00pm
Pumas 0 - 0 Atlas
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Guillermo Martinez

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.00am
Mazatlan 2 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Pumas 46.08% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 24.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Toluca 29.17% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.02% ▼ (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.22% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 46.78% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 30.96% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 69.04% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 4.5 15.34% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 4.5 84.66% ▲ (+0.36)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5 79.63% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 20.37% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 47.22% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 52.78% ▲ (+0.47)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 70.35% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 29.65% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 34.31% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 65.69% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

Pumas 46.08%
Draw 24.74%
Toluca 29.17%
Pumas
1-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.74%
Toluca
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 11
Toluca
Oct 6, 2024 2.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Pumas
  • Paulinho 24' goal
  • Paulinho 24' goal
  • Alexis Vega 72' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 72' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Cesar Huerta 1'
  • goal Cesar Huerta 1'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 39'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 39'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Toluca
Mar 18, 2024 1.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Pumas
  • Alexis Vega 14' goal
  • Alexis Vega 14' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 36' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 36' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 77' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 77' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Lopez 39'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Lopez 39'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Suarez 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Suarez 64'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Pumas
Aug 19, 2023 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Cesar Huerta 24' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 24' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 81' yellowcard
  • Cesar Huerta 81' yellowcard
  • Santiago Trigos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Caicedo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Santiago Trigos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Caicedo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Gil Alcala 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Gil Alcala 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dominguez 15'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 15'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 38'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 38'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 81'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 81'
  • yellowcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
  • redcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'
  • redcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Pumas
Apr 16, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Juan Dinenno 1' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 38' goal
  • Eduardo Salvio 44' goal
  • goal Carlos Gonzalez 31'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Toluca
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Pumas
  • Jean Meneses 65' goal
  • Jean Meneses 77' goal
  • goal Juan Dinenno 36'
  • goal Julio Jose Gonzalez 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Pumas
Jan 11, 2022 3.00am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Rogerio 31' goal
  • Diogo 59' yellowcard
  • Diogo 61' goal
  • Rogerio 64' goal
  • Jorge Ruvalcaba 69' goal
  • Arturo Ortiz 75' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Talavera 77' yellowcard
  • Higor Meritao 81' goal
  • Higor Meritao 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 38'
  • yellowcard Brandon Sartiaguin 53'

Form Data

Pumas 0 - 0 Atlas
Queretaro 3 - 2 Pumas
Pumas 2 - 1 Necaxa
Pumas 3 - 5 Monterrey
Monterrey 1 - 0 Pumas
Mazatlan 0 - 1 Pumas
Mazatlan 2 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey
Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
Toluca 0 - 2 America
America 2 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 4 - 0 America