Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.