CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 14, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
2 - 0
Cavalry

Martinez (53', 53', 73', 73')
Trigos (15'), Trigos (15'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (88'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Camargo (8'), Camargo (8'), Trafford (19'), Trafford (19')
Herdman (45+4'), Herdman (45+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Pumas and Cavalry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 10 at 12am in Liga MX

Cavalry

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cavalry 2-1 Pumas
Friday, February 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cavalry had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cavalry win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawCavalry
51.31% (-0.275 -0.27)24.59% (0.059000000000001 0.06)24.11% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)49.77% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)71.77% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (-0.124 -0.12)19.39% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (-0.203 -0.2)51.2% (0.203 0.2)
Cavalry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (0.172 0.17)35.24% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.181 0.18)71.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 51.3%
    Cavalry 24.11%
    Draw 24.58%
PumasDrawCavalry
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 51.3%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.11%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2025 3am
First Round 1st Leg
Cavalry
2-1
Pumas
Trafford (57'), Warschewski (80')
Trafford (5'), Shome (39'), Aird (90+1'), Carducci (90+3'), Warschewski (90+1')
Lopez Lopez (44')
Galindo (1')