Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 3, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
2 - 3
Pumas

Vitinho (45+4', 45+4'), Manuel Sanabria (68', 68')
Manuel Sanabria (37'), Manuel Sanabria (37'), Macias (69'), Macias (69'), Moises Guillen Moreno (89'), Moises Guillen Moreno (89')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Pussetto (20', 20', 45+10', 45+10'), Ruvalcaba (77', 77')
Ergas (64'), Ergas (64'), Silva (66'), Silva (66'), Magallan (74'), Magallan (74'), Emiliano Lara Nevarez (90+4'), Ruvalcaba (90'), Emiliano Lara Nevarez (90+4'), Emiliano Lara Nevarez (90+4'), Ruvalcaba (90'), Emiliano Lara Nevarez (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: America 3-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, January 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 1-1 Toluca
Thursday, January 30 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawPumas
30.07% (-0.659 -0.66)26.22% (0.332 0.33)43.71% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 51.8% (-1.373 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-1.627 -1.63)52.52% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (-1.414 -1.41)74.19% (1.414 1.41)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-1.301 -1.3)31.95% (1.3 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-1.513 -1.51)68.4% (1.512 1.51)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (-0.55200000000001 -0.55)23.89% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (-0.795 -0.8)58.09% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 30.07%
    Pumas 43.7%
    Draw 26.21%
Atletico San LuisDrawPumas
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.07%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.479 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 10.92% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.82% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.7%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
Pumas
3-0
Atletico San Luis
Huerta (45+5', 54'), Martinez (59')
Huerta (42'), Martinez (45+2'), Ergas (69')

Moises Guillen Moreno (45+2')
Jan 20, 2024 3am
Gameweek 2
Atletico San Luis
3-1
Pumas
Bonatini (9'), Salles-Lamonge (64'), Galdames (83')
Klimowicz (41'), Silva (43')
Rivas (71')
Magallan (14'), Salvio (33'), Aldrete (41'), Jose Gonzalez (65')
Sep 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Pumas
3-2
Atletico San Luis
Dinenno (69'), Huerta (86'), Fernandez (90+3')
Alfonso Monroy Reyes (69'), Fernandez (90+3'), Magallan (90')
Dominguez (37'), Vitinho (81')
Villalpando (2'), Klimowicz (43'), Chavez (58'), Dourado (60'), Urtiaga (84'), Dominguez (86')
Apr 9, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
Pumas
3-1
Atletico San Luis
Rivas (4'), Huerta (31'), Ruvalcaba (90+3')
Murillo (2')
Aug 19, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Atletico San Luis
3-2
Pumas
Hernandez (31' pen., 55', 59')
Dourado (2'), Chavez (5'), Hernandez (60')
Salvio (6' pen., 23')
Alves (33'), Diogo (42'), Ruvalcaba (67')