CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2025 at 3am UK
Hellard Field

Cavalry
2 - 1
Pumas

Trafford (57', 57'), Warschewski (80', 80')
Trafford (5'), Trafford (5'), Shome (39'), Shome (39'), Aird (90+1'), Carducci (90+3'), Warschewski (90+1'), Aird (90+1'), Carducci (90+3'), Warschewski (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopez Lopez (44', 44')
Galindo (1'), Galindo (1')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Cavalry and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cavalry

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Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Cavalry
Tuesday, February 27 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Pumas
Monday, February 3 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Cavalry had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cavalry win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
CavalryDrawPumas
33.67% (0.036999999999999 0.04)27.47% (-0.02 -0.02)38.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.19% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.083000000000006 0.08)56.42% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.065999999999999 0.07)77.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Cavalry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.067000000000007 0.07)31.45% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)67.83% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03)28.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.040999999999997 0.04)63.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cavalry 33.66%
    Pumas 38.87%
    Draw 27.47%
CavalryDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.87%