Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.